🔒 Lock of the Day
New York Yankees ML
✅ WIN +$148
Analysis
Base edge +14.5%
Edge
+18.1ppHIGH CONF
Consensus Prob
54.8%
Best Available
40.3%
Best Book
Caesars
Books Tracked
6
Key Signals
- 😴 Home team on a back-to-back
- 😴 Away team on a back-to-back
- ↔️ Line moved -1.6pp against us (discounted)
- ℹ️ 😴 Away (Baltimore Orioles) 4-in-5 (severe fatigue) — advantage home
- ℹ️ 🔥 Baltimore Orioles on 4-in-5 (severe fatigue) — strong home advantage
- ℹ️ 📉 Line moved against us (-1.6pp since yesterday)
- ℹ️ ⚾ lineup strength leans New York Yankees (OPS gap 0.044)
- ℹ️ ⚾ bullpen workload elevated for Baltimore Orioles (recent usage proxy 7.7)
- ℹ️ ⚾ starter indicators lean New York Yankees (Δ 1.78)
- ℹ️ 🏟️ hitter-friendly park (factor 1.05)
- ℹ️ 🎓 Coaching edge: Aaron Boone (188-136, 9yr) vs Craig Albernaz (88-74, 2yr)
Won A Day Lock Record
47W-36L
Record
$+1778
Units
57%
Win %
Based on flat win unit sizing of $100. Favorite win = +$100. Underdog win = +odds. All picks logged transparently.
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