🔒 Lock of the Day
Under 6.5
✅ WIN +$116
Analysis
The Under 6.5 is priced at +116 on Pinnacle. Across 11 books, consensus sits at 51.1% implied probability. Best available implies 46.3% — a 4.7pp base edge. Final edge adjusted for sharp money, public splits, injury data, and strength of schedule. SOS caution (-1.5%): Boston Red Sox carries a tougher schedule (SOS 0.88) vs New York Yankees (SOS 0.50). Edge adjusted down to reflect opponent's stronger competition.
Edge
+17.6pp
Consensus Prob
64.2%
Best Available
46.3%
Best Book
Pinnacle
Books Tracked
11
Won A Day Lock Record
42W-33L
Record
$+1542
Units
56%
Win %
Based on flat win unit sizing of $100. Favorite win = +$100. Underdog win = +odds. All picks logged transparently.
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