MLB April 21, 2026

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox
Picks & Best Bet — April 21, 2026

Otis Powers' Lock of the Day · wonaday.net

🔒 Lock of the Day
Connelly Early Under 5.5 Strikeouts
-105 odds  ·  MLB  ·  New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox
✅ WIN  +$100

Analysis

Connelly Early Under 5.5 Strikeouts at -105 on BetMGM. Across 6 books, consensus implies 54.6% — best available implies 51.3% — a 3.3pp base edge.

Edge
+3.3pp
Consensus Prob
54.5%
Best Available
51.3%
Best Book
Betmgm
Books Tracked
6

Won A Day Lock Record

42W-33L
Record
$+1542
Units
56%
Win %

Based on flat win unit sizing of $100. Favorite win = +$100. Underdog win = +odds. All picks logged transparently.

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