Analysis
The New York Yankees ML is priced at -139 on Betfair_Ex_Uk. Across 16 books, consensus sits at 60.5% implied probability. Best available implies 58.1% — a 2.3pp base edge. Final edge adjusted for sharp money, public splits, injury data, and strength of schedule. SOS caution (-1.5%): Kansas City Royals carries a tougher schedule (SOS 0.88) vs New York Yankees (SOS 0.50). Edge adjusted down to reflect opponent's stronger competition.
Won A Day Lock Record
Based on flat win unit sizing of $100. Favorite win = +$100. Underdog win = +odds. All picks logged transparently.
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